I figured that there might be some value in graphically representing the Nationals 2009 draft. There is a myriad of ways the information could be sliced and diced, but I figured I start out with the simplest perspective, by position:
As you can see the Nationals spent over 40% of their draft picks on right-handed pitching and if you combine the left-handers, it comprises nearly 60% of the players they selected.
The next slice is splitting the draft up into portions. Realistically, the players taken in the first 25 rounds are the most likely to sign (or at the very least make up the largest portion of the ultimate menu of new Natsionals).
So, I split the data into rounds 1-25 and rounds 26-50.
The pitching proportions remained relatively constant in the two groups. One thing to note is that the Nationals did not select any catchers in the first half of the draft and did not select any corner infielders in the second half (though they increased their focus on outfielders).
The next area that I figured wouold have value was the source of talent. Where did the players selected come from? I split the population into five groups: high school, junior (or community) college, college sophomores, college juniors and college seniors.
First, the whole draft class:
The Nationals used less than half (43%) of their draft picks on players from four year colleges while spending a near equal portion on high schoolers. This is a bit misleading as the next two charts will demonstrate:
The first half of the draft was very college/JuCo heavy with over three-quarters of the first 26 players selected coming from those groups.
The Nationals high school population is heavily influenced by picks made in the third day of the draft. The high schoolers selected here very rarely sign professional contracts, instead opting to head off to their college commitments and a likely/hopefully better draft position in the 2012 draft.
Like I mentioned at the outset, there are numerous other ways I can refigure the populations to attempt to glean more information. It can be focusing on the Nationals-specific data or expanding it to include how the Nationals draft class compares to MLB as a whole.
#1 by expo_ram - June 12th, 2009 at 11:28
Good thing they are trying to stock arms since we are absolutely LOADED with high ceiling position player prospects.
So, bottom-line – first half of the draft = signability and second half = ego stroking for future years.
That being said, based on the crop of talent, I’m relatively pleased with the draft outside of SS. Would have liked to see the 3rd rd pick be a overslot guy instead of a avg talent college Sr. (high character though).
#2 by ScottW - June 12th, 2009 at 11:50
Brian – nice consistent job overall – this latest post has the feel of an investment status review – well done!
#3 by cjrugger - June 12th, 2009 at 12:18
wow, nice work Brian
I wish we were more agressive early on, but it is what it is. Hopefully we can make a big sign with one of the later round guys
#4 by A DC Wonk - June 12th, 2009 at 12:43
Great info — thanks — and very nice presentation with the colored pie charts.
It’d be really interesting to compare the Nats proportions to the league. E.g., what was the draft selection overall proportion of RHP’s, and etc.
#5 by hleeo3 - June 12th, 2009 at 13:12
Brian, this has been some great stuff recently. thanks
#6 by Section 204 Row H Seat 7 - June 12th, 2009 at 14:35
Brian, good stuff as always. Two questions. What is the reason for the disparity in numbers between right handed and left handed pitching selections? May the NATS revisit the lower round (unsigned) picks next year if they do rise in the draft (get better) particularly if they, yet again, pick high in each round?
#7 by graham - June 12th, 2009 at 15:36
Brian- on behalf of all nats fans (remaining) just wanted to say that it was awesome having your comments on twitter right next to the live draft board on MLB.com. Keep up the good work.
#8 by pm - June 12th, 2009 at 20:01
Off topic, but what happened to Mike Hinckley? Has he signed yet with anyone?
#9 by Dick - June 12th, 2009 at 22:27
Hinckley + Texas Rangers. Dibble says Rizzo told him 11 picks are signed.
#10 by Wookie - June 13th, 2009 at 04:18
Any word on Daniel Cabrera or does no one want him??
#11 by Jeff E. - June 13th, 2009 at 12:21
St. Claire taking the summer off??? ironic that two guys on our radar were taken by two former ex-po guys: Dickerson in FLA and Von dekker by Huntington in PITT. nice fit for both!!!! Dickerson probably an upgrade over time than Mike Jacobs.
#12 by chima - June 13th, 2009 at 15:14
Hood and Nieto are staying in the gcl. What are they thinking? these guys need to develop
#13 by Andy F. - June 13th, 2009 at 21:33
Is that a definite that Hood and Nieto will be back in the GCL? It seems like they should be ready for the NYPL???? So, I assume then that J.P. Ramirez will be in Vermont….how about Derrick Gibson, where do you think he will be? Is Smoker headed to Vermont also?
#14 by Brian Oliver - June 13th, 2009 at 21:35
I have not seen rosters announced yet. The MiLB rosters are still out of date, including players not with the organization any more
#15 by chima - June 13th, 2009 at 23:01
Yes Hood and Nieto in the gcl is a definite. They both are ready to play in the NYPL i don’t understand why they are being kept down there.
#16 by Marcus - June 14th, 2009 at 00:33
Harper’s father announced it’s official:
http://www.lvrj.com/sports/48007317.html
But added this quote in the article,
“Ron Harper said his son, who turns 17 on Oct. 16, will be draft eligible “in 2010 or 2011 … There are a lot of rules that people don’t know about.”
Any idea what other rules would be keeping him draft eligible next year?
#17 by mjames - June 14th, 2009 at 08:46
I am not too focused on Harper just yet. I think the Nats need to focus on the mistake they made in the 2009 draft. They should have passed on Strasburg as they will not be successful in signing him. They should have taken Ackely.
#18 by Ronny - June 14th, 2009 at 20:34
God I hope 2010 draft is a hitters draft. We loaded up on pitchers this draft and I would load up on hitters next year. Starting Bryce Harper.