DraftWatch 03/30/09

Attached is a Google spreadsheet with the results of this past weekend’s college games.

Using the spreadsheet has allowed me to expand it a little bit, I’ve added three names to the list of hitters. Joining the list are Arizona State CF Jason Kipnis, University of Georgia 1B Rich Poythress, and LSU LF Jared Mitchell. All were ranked by Baseball America among the top 15 college bats available in the 2009 draft.

  1. #1 by Marc - March 30th, 2009 at 08:13

    Brian - first off, bravo for the thoroughly superb Fisking of Boz’s Strasburg canard below. It’s tough to do that without looking mean-spirited, but you very thoughtfully point out that Boz’s real underlying discovery is that EVERY draft pick is risky - and in that risky environment, I can’t see how you don’t take Strasburg #1.

    Secondly, looks like Gibson hurt himself this weekend - OK st lit that kid up. Here’s hoping he falls FAR (like to #9A).

    Also - if it’s possible, now that you’ve got a spreadsheet going, could you also list somewhere on the sheet the overall stats for the guys you list? If that’s a ton of extra work, I supposed I could go dig that information out of the tubes by myself…

    Thanks for the great work you do.

  2. #2 by Brian Oliver - March 30th, 2009 at 08:21

    Marc - Let me take a look if there is a way to apend that information automatically vice typing it in.

  3. #3 by cjrugger - March 30th, 2009 at 08:33

    Overall, I think you guys are putting too much weight into stats, and not enough about scouting. I believe scouting directors and gm’s dont really care about week to week stats, they rely on their scouts and their own eyes.

    I defintiely appreciate the effort Brian, not saying that, but I think our week to week snap judgements aren’t a very accurate way of juding how draft boards look

  4. #4 by Brian Oliver - March 30th, 2009 at 08:39

    cj - I agree 100%. Unfortunately, we only get to see the scouting reports on a very infrequent basis. The stats tell us very little in most cases but they at least give us an idea if something might be wrong. Kentrail Davis is batting 247. A relatively small sample size for sure but it makes me wonder if pitchers found a hole in his swing. Oliver got knocked around in his starts leading up to his start against Gibson, I wondered if there was something more there (injury, tipping his pitches).

  5. #5 by Todd Boss - March 30th, 2009 at 08:52

    Brian; love the spreadsheet concept. I think its the best way to track the stats. Gibson really took a hit with that outing. But its also good to see Oliver’s potential against a good team. Stoffel’s numbers are horrible all year; i really hope the Nats don’t think about a first rounder for a reliever with a 5+ era in college.

  6. #6 by Dick - March 30th, 2009 at 08:55

    Brian, you have to wonder how much Oliver (great name, isn’t it?) was affected by his lawsuit. Also, I believe he was declared eligible the week the season started, if not after it started. He may not have been able to work out or work out effectively due to the distraction. If he keeps it up, I’d throw out the first month.

  7. #7 by cjrugger - March 30th, 2009 at 12:50

    Yeah I agree Brian, its the best we can get, but you have to take it with a big pinch of salt


  8. #8 by cjrugger - March 31st, 2009 at 08:08

    Ive got a new sleeper, more in the 5+ round area, AJ Morris at KSU

    Here’s his scouting report from the Summer West Coast Collegiate League:

    Scouts and league coaches saw a steep gap between the league’s top prospects in Locker, Osich, Starr and Morris, and the rest of the league’s talent. After a rough spring at Kansas State (4-4, 6.04), Morris led the league in strikeouts with 57 in 53 innings. He’s not physical at 6-foot-2, 176 pounds, but the rising redshirt junior performed consistently this summer, showing a quick arm, low-90s fastball and good control of his solid-average breaking ball and changeup

    He threw a complete game shutout against Baylor on friday (9 IP, 6 H, 1 R, 0 ER, 2 BB, 10 K)So far this year he is 7-0, 0.39 era, 49K in 46 inn

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